WSJ: Another Threat to Economy: Boomers Cutting Back

WSJ

Low yields present retirees with a difficult choice: Accept the lower income offered by safer bonds, or take the risk of staying in the stock market. Either way, their predicament could put a long-term damper on the consumer spending that typically drives U.S. growth.

"If these rates stay as low as they are, then a lot more people are going to be hurting," says Jack VanDerhei, research director at the Employee Benefit Research Institute. The non-partisan outfit estimates that if current conditions persist, nearly three in five baby boomers will be at risk of running short of money in retirement. "There are going to be many luxury items that will simply have to be eliminated," for retirees to make ends meet.

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At the same time, the return people can hope to earn on their assets has fallen, particularly for those who switch into bonds or annuities to guarantee a fixed income. The average yield on U.S. government, corporate and mortgage bonds stands at about 2.4%, while stock-market valuations suggest a long-term return of about 6%. At those levels of return, some 59% of people aged 56 to 62 will be at risk of not having enough money to cover basic living and health-care costs in retirement, estimates Mr. VanDerhei. If market returns are higher—8.9% for stocks and 6.3% for bonds—the picture isn't a lot better: The percentage at risk falls to about 47%.

USAT: Boomers wanting to work past retirement age find limited options

USA Today

Nearly half of Baby Boomers ages 56 to 62 are at risk of not having enough savings for basic expenses and uninsured medical bills, according to Employee Benefit Research Institute's new Retirement Readiness Rating. And 41% of the lowest-income older Boomers .... are likely to run short of money after 10 years of retirement.

Health care, variable payouts factor into retirement puzzle

Rockford Register Star

The EBRI study, last done in 2003, evaluated national retirement income adequacy based on a database of 24 million 401(k) participants. The newest version takes into account many new retirement plan changes, such as auto-enrollment and auto-escalation of contributions in 401(k) plans, as well as updates on the financial market and employee behavior.